MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 9, 2026
Matt Waldron
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 1 (WHIP); Shane Baz wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Waldron
92.0
Shane Baz
96.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
8.5%
Shane Baz
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
19.3%
Shane Baz
20.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
30.0%
Shane Baz
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Waldron
39.6%
Shane Baz
42.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Waldron
6.3%
Shane Baz
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Waldron
.302
Shane Baz
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Waldron
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
Shane Baz
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30
Shane Baz
1.141.87
now 1.43
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Waldron
4071
now 22
29
Shane Baz
4071
now 57
36
Winshigher is better
Matt Waldron
.5202.48
now 1
12
Shane Baz
.5202.48
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · steadyShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
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