Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategoryPaul
114K →126
3.90ERA →2.28
1.27WHIP →1.04
5–11W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
MaxCategoryPaul
74K →75
2.97ERA →2.89
1.10WHIP →0.86
5W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Meyer
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.90 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Max Meyer: 114 K / 3.90 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).