Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategorySpencer
114K →117
3.90ERA ←3.98
1.27WHIP ←1.31
5–11W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
MaxCategorySpencer
74K ←40
2.97ERA ←3.77
1.10WHIP ←1.26
5W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Meyer
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.90 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Strider
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.91)
Max Meyer: 114 K / 3.90 ERA. Spencer Strider: 117 K / 3.98 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).