Rest of Season Projection
MerrillCategoryMiles
80K ←66
6.15ERA →4.89
1.45WHIP →1.35
6–14W ←1–3
0SV0
Current Season
MerrillCategoryMiles
33K ←32
5.06ERA ←6.08
1.46WHIP →1.41
5W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Merrill Kelly
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 7.26 +3.16 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Miles Mikolas
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.31 +1.21 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Merrill Kelly: 80 K / 6.15 ERA. Miles Mikolas: 66 K / 4.89 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).