Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryTroy
17HR ←8
45R ←38
57RBI ←41
5SB5
.292AVG →.297
Current Season
MichaelCategoryTroy
13HR ←2
28R ←23
36RBI ←25
3SB3
.307AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Harris II
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.386, +0.071 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Michael Harris II: 17 HR / 45 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).