Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryPaul
71K →126
5.12ERA →2.28
1.31WHIP →1.04
3–7W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryPaul
44K →75
2.98ERA →2.89
1.10WHIP →0.86
3W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael McGreevy
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.249 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.67 is 2.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Michael McGreevy: 71 K / 5.12 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).