Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategoryPeter
98K ←82
3.95ERA ←4.04
1.32WHIP ←1.33
4–9W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategoryPeter
65K ←43
3.23ERA ←3.77
1.12WHIP ←1.21
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.95 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Peter Lambert
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.84)
Michael Wacha: 98 K / 3.95 ERA. Peter Lambert: 82 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).