Rest of Season Projection
MichaelCategorySean
98K →100
3.95ERA →3.63
1.32WHIP →1.27
4–9W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
MichaelCategorySean
65K ←60
3.23ERA ←3.72
1.12WHIP ←1.13
4W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Michael Wacha
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.95 is 0.72 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Burke
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.63, 0.47 below league — production is earned
Michael Wacha: 98 K / 3.95 ERA. Sean Burke: 100 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).