Rest of Season Projection
MilesCategorySteven
57K →72
4.70ERA ←5.45
1.34WHIP ←1.39
1–2W →5–10
0SV0
Current Season
MilesCategorySteven
32K →35
6.08ERA →4.67
1.41WHIP →1.24
1W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Miles Mikolas
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.02 +0.92 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Steven Matz
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.17 +2.07 vs league with no luck excuse
Miles Mikolas: 57 K / 4.70 ERA. Steven Matz: 72 K / 5.45 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).