MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Nathan Church
STL · LF
Change to
Portrait of Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIA · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Owen Caissie wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Nathan Church
85.9
Owen Caissie
91.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Nathan Church
31.1%
Owen Caissie
45.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Nathan Church
8.9%
Owen Caissie
13.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Nathan Church
45.2%
Owen Caissie
29.1%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Nathan Church
13.5%
Owen Caissie
16.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Nathan Church
.293
Owen Caissie
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Nathan Church
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .260
.242
Owen Caissie
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .234
.196

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Nathan Church
510.60
now 5
7
Owen Caissie
510.60
now 5
9
Runshigher is better
Nathan Church
2032.40
now 18
28
Owen Caissie
2032.40
now 17
26
RBIhigher is better
Nathan Church
2055.80
now 18
28
Owen Caissie
2055.80
now 30
45
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Nathan Church
1.807.20
now 4
6
Owen Caissie
1.807.20
now 3
5
If you already own them — trade angle
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.59
SellOwen Caissie — sell.conf 0.59
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