MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 15, 2026
Nathan Church
STL · LF
Change to
Portrait of Tommy Troy
Tommy Troy
AZ · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI and steals.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 2 categories (RBI, SB); Tommy Troy wins 1 (R); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Nathan Church
85.9
Tommy Troy
84.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Nathan Church
31.4%
Tommy Troy
31.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Nathan Church
8.1%
Tommy Troy
10.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Nathan Church
44.7%
Tommy Troy
27.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Nathan Church
13.2%
Tommy Troy
11.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Nathan Church
.281
Tommy Troy
.317
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Nathan Church
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .260
.222
Tommy Troy
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .318
.223

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Nathan Church
56.60
now 5
4
Tommy Troy
56.60
now 1
4
Runshigher is better
Nathan Church
2051.80
now 18
20
Tommy Troy
2051.80
now 7
39
RBIhigher is better
Nathan Church
2027.60
now 18
20
Tommy Troy
2027.60
now 1
6
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Nathan Church
.0005.60
now 4
4
Tommy Troy
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.62
Hold · wait & seeTommy Troy — hold.conf 0.50
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