Rest of Season Projection
NathanCategorySonny
93K ←77
4.44ERA →4.09
1.21WHIP ←1.30
5–10W →7–15
0SV0
Current Season
NathanCategorySonny
67K ←41
3.93ERA →3.06
1.11WHIP ←1.20
5W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nathan Eovaldi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.63 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Sonny Gray
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.09)
Nathan Eovaldi: 93 K / 4.44 ERA. Sonny Gray: 77 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).