Rest of Season Projection
NickCategoryRanger
87K →98
4.27ERA →3.61
1.31WHIP →1.30
4–9W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
NickCategoryRanger
22K →57
5.20ERA →3.38
1.37WHIP →1.16
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nick Lodolo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.61 is 1.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Ranger Suarez
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.61, 0.49 below league — production is earned
Nick Lodolo: 87 K / 4.27 ERA. Ranger Suarez: 98 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).