Rest of Season Projection
OneilCategoryTaylor
19HR ←6
63R ←31
61RBI ←27
28SB ←4
.242AVG ←.212
Current Season
OneilCategoryTaylor
13HR ←0
42R ←7
41RBI ←6
19SB ←1
.255AVG →.314
What Each Player's System Trusts
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Taylor Trammell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.471 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.248 is 0.081 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Taylor Trammell: 6 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).