MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Patrick Sandoval
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Patrick Sandoval.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Steven Matz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Patrick Sandoval wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Patrick Sandoval
93.9
Steven Matz
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Patrick Sandoval
12.6%
Steven Matz
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Patrick Sandoval
23.3%
Steven Matz
18.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Patrick Sandoval
31.2%
Steven Matz
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Patrick Sandoval
35.6%
Steven Matz
35.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Patrick Sandoval
5.1%
Steven Matz
12.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Patrick Sandoval
.323
Steven Matz
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Patrick Sandoval
26.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.08
4.10
Steven Matz
26.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.95
WHIPlower is better
Patrick Sandoval
1.171.45
now 1.38
1.30
Steven Matz
1.171.45
now 1.24
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Patrick Sandoval
4047
now 5
35
Steven Matz
4047
now 35
33
Winshigher is better
Patrick Sandoval
.0007
now 0
00
Steven Matz
.0007
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seePatrick Sandoval — hold.conf 0.50
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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