MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 16, 2026
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Sam Moll
Sam Moll
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Paul Blackburn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Sam Moll’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Paul Blackburn wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Sam Moll wins 2 (K, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
94.6
Sam Moll
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
9.9%
Sam Moll
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
19.2%
Sam Moll
25.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
27.1%
Sam Moll
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
32.1%
Sam Moll
31.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
7.1%
Sam Moll
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
.291
Sam Moll
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Paul Blackburn
24.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.69
Sam Moll
24.21
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.49
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Paul Blackburn
.9201.59
now 1.44
1.24
Sam Moll
.9201.59
now 1.07
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
4031.60
now 16
16
Sam Moll
4031.60
now 26
22
Winshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
.0004.20
now 2
13
Sam Moll
.0004.20
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
.0003.40
now 0
0
Sam Moll
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeSam Moll — hold.conf 0.50
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