Rest of Season Projection
PaulCategoryStephen
126K ←60
2.28ERA ←4.02
1.04WHIP ←1.30
6–14W ←6–13
0SV0
Current Season
PaulCategoryStephen
75K ←19
2.89ERA ←3.48
0.86WHIP ←0.94
6W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Stephen Kolek
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.31)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Stephen Kolek: 60 K / 4.02 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).