Rest of Season Projection
PaulCategoryTomoyuki
126K ←58
2.28ERA ←6.36
1.04WHIP ←1.36
6–14W ←5–10
0SV0
Current Season
PaulCategoryTomoyuki
75K ←31
2.89ERA ←4.01
0.86WHIP ←1.25
6W ←4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Tomoyuki Sugano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 7.58 is 3.60 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Tomoyuki Sugano: 58 K / 6.36 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).