Rest of Season Projection
PaulCategoryYoshinobu
113K ←112
2.30ERA ←3.37
1.05WHIP ←1.12
6–12W ←5–11
0SV0
Current Season
PaulCategoryYoshinobu
75K ←69
2.89ERA →2.86
0.86WHIP ←1.00
6W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.30, 1.80 below league — production is earned
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.37 is 0.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Paul Skenes: 113 K / 2.30 ERA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 112 K / 3.37 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).