Rest of Season Projection
PaxtonCategoryRyan
43K ←25
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
PaxtonCategoryRyan
24K ←12
4.91ERA →2.75
1.36WHIP →1.17
0W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paxton Schultz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.32)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.68 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paxton Schultz: 43 K / 3.71 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).