Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryRyan
39K ←25
3.74ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
LuisCategoryRyan
27K ←12
2.88ERA →2.75
1.20WHIP →1.17
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Medina
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.65)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.68 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Luis Medina: 39 K / 3.74 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).