MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Rogers
Tyler Rogers
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Pierce Johnson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Tyler Rogers’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Pierce Johnson wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Tyler Rogers wins 1 (ERA); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
95.4
Tyler Rogers
83.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
11.2%
Tyler Rogers
7.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
20.4%
Tyler Rogers
13.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
33.9%
Tyler Rogers
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
40.0%
Tyler Rogers
26.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
12.0%
Tyler Rogers
1.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
.368
Tyler Rogers
.256
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Pierce Johnson
24.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
Tyler Rogers
24.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.36
2.69
WHIPlower is better
Pierce Johnson
1.041.44
now 1.23
1.24
Tyler Rogers
1.041.44
now 1.13
1.35

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
4025.60
now 20
17
Tyler Rogers
4025.60
now 16
11
Winshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
.0002.80
now 2
12
Tyler Rogers
.0002.80
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
01
Tyler Rogers
.0003.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seePierce Johnson — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighTyler Rogers — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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