Rest of Season Projection
RafaelCategoryTJ
15HR ←11
40R ←37
47RBI ←46
0SB0
.230AVG →.264
Current Season
RafaelCategoryTJ
7HR7
26R ←23
30RBI ←29
0SB0
.251AVG →.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.291 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
TJ Rumfield
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.339)
Rafael Devers: 15 HR / 40 R. TJ Rumfield: 11 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).