Rest of Season Projection
RyanCategoryWade
8HR ←6
45R ←21
48RBI →56
2SB →14
.248AVG ←.246
Current Season
RyanCategoryWade
8HR ←2
28R ←3
30RBI ←8
1SB →2
.294AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ryan O'Hearn
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.333, +0.018 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.326 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Wade Meckler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.372 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.355 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
Ryan O'Hearn: 8 HR / 46 R. Wade Meckler: 7 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).