MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson
AZ · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Baz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Baz wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Ryne Nelson wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Ryne Nelson
96.3
Shane Baz
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Ryne Nelson
11.4%
Shane Baz
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Ryne Nelson
17.5%
Shane Baz
20.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Ryne Nelson
34.1%
Shane Baz
29.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Ryne Nelson
43.4%
Shane Baz
41.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Ryne Nelson
10.2%
Shane Baz
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Ryne Nelson
.349
Shane Baz
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Ryne Nelson
4.025.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.82
4.82
Shane Baz
4.025.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.25
WHIPlower is better
Ryne Nelson
1.091.53
now 1.19
1.28
Shane Baz
1.091.53
now 1.43
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Ryne Nelson
41.4062.60
now 52
47
Shane Baz
41.4062.60
now 57
53
Winshigher is better
Ryne Nelson
.2003.80
now 2
12
Shane Baz
.2003.80
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellRyne Nelson — sell.conf 0.88
Hold · leans sellShane Baz — hold.conf 0.60
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