MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Samy Natera Jr.
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Alexander.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Alexander wins 3 categories (ERA, W, SV); Samy Natera Jr. wins 2 (K, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
94.6
Tyler Alexander
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
16.1%
Tyler Alexander
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
38.2%
Tyler Alexander
20.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Samy Natera Jr.
26.1%
Tyler Alexander
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
31.6%
Tyler Alexander
34.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
5.3%
Tyler Alexander
3.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Samy Natera Jr.
.211
Tyler Alexander
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Samy Natera Jr.
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Tyler Alexander
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Samy Natera Jr.
.9001.73
now 0.50
1.24
Tyler Alexander
.9001.73
now 1.38
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Samy Natera Jr.
4039.40
now 3
29
Tyler Alexander
4039.40
now 21
14
Winshigher is better
Samy Natera Jr.
.0001.48
now 0
00
Tyler Alexander
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Samy Natera Jr.
.0004.40
now 0
0
Tyler Alexander
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeSamy Natera Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
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