Rest of Season Projection
SandyCategorySteven
86K ←76
3.95ERA ←4.50
1.34WHIP →1.32
4–8W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
SandyCategorySteven
57K ←35
4.59ERA ←4.67
1.30WHIP →1.24
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sandy Alcantara
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.95)
Steven Matz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.89 is 0.41 above the ERA — regression coming
Sandy Alcantara: 86 K / 3.95 ERA. Steven Matz: 76 K / 4.50 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).