Rest of Season Projection
SeanCategoryTim
59K ←29
3.97ERA →3.70
1.29WHIP →1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
SeanCategoryTim
42K ←16
5.08ERA →3.32
1.46WHIP ←1.63
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sean Manaea
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.12 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Tim Herrin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.61 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Manaea: 59 K / 3.97 ERA. Tim Herrin: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).