MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 20, 2026
Portrait of Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BAL · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Mahle.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Shane Baz’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tyler Mahle wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Shane Baz wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Shane Baz
96.2
Tyler Mahle
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
10.2%
Tyler Mahle
8.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Shane Baz
19.8%
Tyler Mahle
22.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Shane Baz
30.0%
Tyler Mahle
28.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
40.7%
Tyler Mahle
35.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Shane Baz
8.1%
Tyler Mahle
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Shane Baz
.334
Tyler Mahle
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Shane Baz
3.306.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.48
4.43
Tyler Mahle
3.306.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Shane Baz
1.311.61
now 1.43
1.38
Tyler Mahle
1.311.61
now 1.54
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Shane Baz
45.4097.60
now 57
84
Tyler Mahle
45.4097.60
now 57
86
Winshigher is better
Shane Baz
.0005.20
now 2
24
Tyler Mahle
.0005.20
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellShane Baz — sell.conf 0.70
Buy LowTyler Mahle — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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