Rest of Season Projection
SpencerCategoryTrey
96K ←94
4.66ERA →3.85
1.43WHIP →1.32
9–20W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
SpencerCategoryTrey
43K ←39
1.34ERA ←2.19
1.13WHIP ←1.16
7W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.96 is 3.02 above the ERA — regression coming
Trey Yesavage
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.50)
Spencer Arrighetti: 96 K / 4.66 ERA. Trey Yesavage: 94 K / 3.85 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).