Rest of Season Projection
TaylorCategoryWilber
33K →43
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
1–6SV ←0
Current Season
TaylorCategoryWilber
17K ←14
4.15ERA →1.32
1.57WHIP →0.73
1W1
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Taylor Rogers
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — the 5.33 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.41 is +0.31 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Wilber Dotel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.24)
Taylor Rogers: 33 K / 3.71 ERA. Wilber Dotel: 43 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).