Rest of Season Projection
JuanCategoryWilber
42K →43
3.71ERA3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–2W →2–5
3–5SV ←0
Current Season
JuanCategoryWilber
30K ←14
6.00ERA →1.32
1.70WHIP →0.73
1W1
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Juan Mejia
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.84 sits 0.26 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.388 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Wilber Dotel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.24)
Juan Mejia: 42 K / 3.71 ERA. Wilber Dotel: 43 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).