Rest of Season Projection
WillCategoryWilliam
14HR ←12
39R →48
41RBI →56
0SB →2
.271AVG →.290
Current Season
WillCategoryWilliam
6HR ←4
22R →31
23RBI →36
0SB →1
.250AVG →.294
What Each Player's System Trusts
Will Smith
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.271 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
William Contreras
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.338, +0.023 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Will Smith: 14 HR / 39 R. William Contreras: 12 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).