MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Will Smith
Will Smith
LAD · C
Change to
Portrait of William Contreras
William Contreras
MIL · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

William Contreras.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

William Contreras wins 4 categories (R, RBI, SB, AVG); Will Smith wins 1 (HR).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Will Smith
90.0
William Contreras
89.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Will Smith
39.4%
William Contreras
42.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Will Smith
13.4%
William Contreras
7.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Will Smith
21.3%
William Contreras
29.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Will Smith
6.8%
William Contreras
9.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Will Smith
.385
William Contreras
.332
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Will Smith
.230.310
lg AVG .295
now .250
.258
William Contreras
.230.310
lg AVG .295
now .294
.266

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Will Smith
57.20
now 6
4
William Contreras
57.20
now 4
3
Runshigher is better
Will Smith
2036.60
now 22
17
William Contreras
2036.60
now 31
21
RBIhigher is better
Will Smith
2043.20
now 23
18
William Contreras
2043.20
now 36
25
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Will Smith
.0002.20
now 0
0
William Contreras
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowWill Smith — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.73
BuyWilliam Contreras — buy.conf 0.63
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