MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Devin Williams
Devin Williams
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Devin Williams.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Aaron Ashby’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Devin Williams wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Aaron Ashby wins 2 (ERA, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Devin Williams
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
12.8%
Devin Williams
17.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
31.4%
Devin Williams
28.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.5%
Devin Williams
38.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
39.5%
Devin Williams
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
4.8%
Devin Williams
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.271
Devin Williams
.288
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
26.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.03
Devin Williams
26.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
1.121.67
now 1.28
1.31
Devin Williams
1.121.67
now 1.55
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4059
now 51
31
Devin Williams
4059
now 31
33
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00011.80
now 9
39
Devin Williams
.00011.80
now 3
24
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00012.60
now 0
0
Devin Williams
.00012.60
now 8
59
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAaron Ashby — buy.conf 0.92
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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