Who's more valuable, rest of season
Devin Williams.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins. Riley O'Brien’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
Devin Williams wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Riley O'Brien wins 1 (SV); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Devin Williams
93.9
Riley O'Brien
98.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
17.6%
Riley O'Brien
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
29.6%
Riley O'Brien
23.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Devin Williams
38.3%
Riley O'Brien
29.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
30.7%
Riley O'Brien
38.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
5.7%
Riley O'Brien
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Devin Williams
.291
Riley O'Brien
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Devin Williams
2.326.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Riley O'Brien
2.326.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Devin Williams
.9001.77
now 1.55
1.24
Riley O'Brien
.9001.77
now 0.99
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Devin Williams
4040.60
now 31
35
Riley O'Brien
4040.60
now 27
22
Winshigher is better
Devin Williams
1.204.80
now 3
2–4
Riley O'Brien
1.204.80
now 3
2–3
Saveshigher is better
Devin Williams
119
now 8
5–10
Riley O'Brien
119
now 14
8–15
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeRiley O'Brien — hold.conf 0.50