MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Aaron Civale
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Aaron Civale wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.4
Dustin May
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.5%
Dustin May
10.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
17.5%
Dustin May
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
30.5%
Dustin May
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
45.6%
Dustin May
46.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.0%
Dustin May
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.344
Dustin May
.308
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
3.675.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.75
Dustin May
3.675.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.98
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.231.54
now 1.47
1.40
Dustin May
1.231.54
now 1.30
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4057.40
now 39
35
Dustin May
4057.40
now 51
39
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.4007.60
now 5
36
Dustin May
.4007.60
now 3
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.85
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
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