MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
Aaron Civale
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Walbert Ureña
Walbert Ureña
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Civale wins 2 (WHIP, W); Walbert Ureña wins 2 (K, ERA); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Civale
91.3
Walbert Ureña
97.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
9.3%
Walbert Ureña
12.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
16.2%
Walbert Ureña
22.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Civale
29.4%
Walbert Ureña
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
47.2%
Walbert Ureña
33.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Civale
10.2%
Walbert Ureña
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Civale
.354
Walbert Ureña
.283
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Civale
25.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.20
4.88
Walbert Ureña
25.86
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.44
3.24
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Civale
1.311.54
now 1.47
1.39
Walbert Ureña
1.311.54
now 1.38
1.42

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Civale
4069.80
now 39
58
Walbert Ureña
4069.80
now 41
61
Winshigher is better
Aaron Civale
.00011.80
now 5
49
Walbert Ureña
.00011.80
now 2
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAaron Civale — sell.conf 0.90
BuyWalbert Ureña — buy.conf 0.86
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