MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 27, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Bailey Ober.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Bailey Ober wins 2 categories (WHIP, W); Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Bailey Ober
88.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
11.1%
Bailey Ober
9.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.2%
Bailey Ober
16.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
31.6%
Bailey Ober
30.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.2%
Bailey Ober
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.4%
Bailey Ober
9.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.322
Bailey Ober
.323
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.696.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.22
Bailey Ober
3.696.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.59
4.24
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.151.46
now 1.39
1.32
Bailey Ober
1.151.46
now 1.22
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
40100.60
now 64
85
Bailey Ober
40100.60
now 46
65
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.00013.20
now 3
25
Bailey Ober
.00013.20
now 6
510

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · leans sellBailey Ober — hold.conf 0.60
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