Who's more valuable, rest of season
Matthew Boyd.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Aaron Nola’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
▶
SV n/a
Matthew Boyd wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Matthew Boyd
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
11.3%
Matthew Boyd
15.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.1%
Matthew Boyd
31.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
32.0%
Matthew Boyd
37.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
39.4%
Matthew Boyd
50.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.1%
Matthew Boyd
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.321
Matthew Boyd
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.356.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.20
Matthew Boyd
3.356.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.221.46
now 1.39
1.33
Matthew Boyd
1.221.46
now 1.29
1.29
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
40110.80
now 64
88
Matthew Boyd
40110.80
now 31
69
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.00010.40
now 3
3–5
Matthew Boyd
.00010.40
now 2
4–8
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Nola — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Buy LowMatthew Boyd — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90