MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Cole Ragans
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 2 (K, W); Cole Ragans wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Cole Ragans
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.0%
Cole Ragans
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.1%
Cole Ragans
29.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
31.7%
Cole Ragans
27.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.0%
Cole Ragans
39.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.0%
Cole Ragans
15.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.327
Cole Ragans
.344
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.706.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.33
Cole Ragans
3.706.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.84
4.23
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.261.49
now 1.39
1.34
Cole Ragans
1.261.49
now 1.42
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4091.20
now 64
78
Cole Ragans
4091.20
now 45
77
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0006.60
now 3
25
Cole Ragans
.0006.60
now 1
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeCole Ragans — hold.conf 0.50
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