MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 2, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Joey Cantillo
Joey Cantillo
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 2 (K, WHIP); Joey Cantillo wins 2 (ERA, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Joey Cantillo
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.0%
Joey Cantillo
13.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.1%
Joey Cantillo
23.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
31.7%
Joey Cantillo
29.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.0%
Joey Cantillo
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.0%
Joey Cantillo
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.327
Joey Cantillo
.315
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.786.34
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.33
Joey Cantillo
2.786.34
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.57
4.11
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.271.47
now 1.39
1.34
Joey Cantillo
1.271.47
now 1.40
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
41.6088.40
now 64
78
Joey Cantillo
41.6088.40
now 52
64
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0009
now 3
25
Joey Cantillo
.0009
now 4
37

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · steadyJoey Cantillo — hold.conf 0.60
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