MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tarik Skubal.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tarik Skubal wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.5%
Tarik Skubal
17.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.3%
Tarik Skubal
31.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
31.9%
Tarik Skubal
36.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
41.2%
Tarik Skubal
36.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.2%
Tarik Skubal
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.321
Tarik Skubal
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
26.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.26
Tarik Skubal
26.69
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
2.98
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
.9001.57
now 1.39
1.33
Tarik Skubal
.9001.57
now 0.95
1.00

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4072.80
now 64
46
Tarik Skubal
4072.80
now 45
42
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0005.20
now 3
13
Tarik Skubal
.0005.20
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.92
Tweet