MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 1 (K); Trevor Rogers wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.2
Trevor Rogers
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.5%
Trevor Rogers
12.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.3%
Trevor Rogers
19.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
31.9%
Trevor Rogers
34.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
41.2%
Trevor Rogers
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
10.2%
Trevor Rogers
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.321
Trevor Rogers
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
2.748.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.26
Trevor Rogers
2.748.01
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.84
3.91
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.241.65
now 1.39
1.33
Trevor Rogers
1.241.65
now 1.56
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4076
now 64
47
Trevor Rogers
4076
now 38
34
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.2003.80
now 3
13
Trevor Rogers
.2003.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyTrevor Rogers — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet