MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of AJ Blubaugh
AJ Blubaugh
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. AJ Blubaugh’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, ERA); AJ Blubaugh wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
95.7
José Alvarado
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
14.2%
José Alvarado
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
24.3%
José Alvarado
26.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
AJ Blubaugh
29.8%
José Alvarado
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
38.1%
José Alvarado
29.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
10.0%
José Alvarado
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
AJ Blubaugh
.307
José Alvarado
.303
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
3.076.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.42
3.86
José Alvarado
3.076.31
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.79
WHIPlower is better
AJ Blubaugh
1.102.01
now 1.31
1.30
José Alvarado
1.102.01
now 1.81
1.34

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
4037.60
now 28
4
José Alvarado
4037.60
now 26
6
Winshigher is better
AJ Blubaugh
.0002.80
now 2
00
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighAJ Blubaugh — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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