Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryGus
34K →37
3.71ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP ←1.25
3–7W ←1–2
1–4SV →5–9
Current Season
AlbertCategoryGus
10K →20
2.61ERA ←4.09
1.21WHIP ←1.55
2W ←1
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.16 is 0.79 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Gus Varland
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.44)
Albert Suárez: 34 K / 3.71 ERA. Gus Varland: 37 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).