Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategorySam
41K ←33
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →3–8
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
AlexCategorySam
28K ←7
2.21ERA ←2.45
0.93WHIP ←1.36
1W1
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Vesia
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.45)
Sam Aldegheri
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.76 is 1.64 above the ERA — regression coming
Alex Vesia: 41 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Aldegheri: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).