Rest of Season Projection
ColinCategorySam
32K →33
3.69ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
3–8W3–8
0SV0
Current Season
ColinCategorySam
23K ←7
2.14ERA ←2.45
0.81WHIP ←1.36
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colin Holderman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.193 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.78 is 0.98 above the ERA — regression coming
Sam Aldegheri
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.76 is 1.64 above the ERA — regression coming
Colin Holderman: 32 K / 3.69 ERA. Sam Aldegheri: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).