Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategorySam
44K ←33
3.73ERA →3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W →3–8
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategorySam
27K ←7
5.16ERA →2.45
1.41WHIP →1.36
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Nardi
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.08)
Sam Aldegheri
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.76 is 1.64 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Nardi: 44 K / 3.73 ERA. Sam Aldegheri: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).