Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategorySam
46K ←33
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–6W →3–8
0SV0
Current Season
FernandoCategorySam
30K ←7
2.19ERA ←2.45
1.30WHIP ←1.36
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Cruz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.93 is 0.85 above the ERA — regression coming
Sam Aldegheri
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.76 is 1.64 above the ERA — regression coming
Fernando Cruz: 46 K / 3.67 ERA. Sam Aldegheri: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).