Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryPaul
81K →126
4.61ERA →2.28
1.46WHIP →1.04
4–9W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryPaul
42K →75
4.02ERA →2.89
1.44WHIP →0.86
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Abbott
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.88 +0.78 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Paul Skenes
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.28, 1.82 below league — production is earned
Andrew Abbott: 81 K / 4.61 ERA. Paul Skenes: 126 K / 2.28 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).